Coming soonTopic: Energy
The new geography of energy
Transition, autonomy and the contest over who produces and controls energy
FUTURE FIELDS · 2040
POSSIBLE FUTURES FOR 2040 ARE SENDING SIGNALS
The Long Game is investigating the possible futures of 2040 across its main territories. Each one has a radar of megatrends, trends, weak signals and wild cards identified from signals in the present.
Free access with an account.
THE CYCLE
2040, INVESTIGATED ONE TERRITORY AT A TIME
Future Fields 2040 is The Long Game's ongoing investigation into the forces that may shape the world up to 2040. Each territory is studied in depth and, together, they form a system that brings clarity and widens the possibilities considered in today's decisions.
EXPLORED TERRITORIES
RADARS OF THE 2040 CYCLE
3 published · 9 coming soon
- Social
- Technological
- Economic
- Political
- Environmental
Available · 3
Coming soon · 9
- Coming soon
Coming soonTopic: Trust
Proof of the real
Trust, identity and truth when anything can be fabricated
Coming soonTopic: Food
Who feeds the future
What will be on the plate, who will produce it and who will decide
Inside a driving force
Every radar point is a reading, not a label.
Every force gathers context, data and the criteria that define where it sits on the radar.
- Dimension
- The sphere where the force acts: in the social, technological, economic, environmental or political dimension.
- Type
- The nature of the change and its degree of uncertainty: Megatrend, Trend, Weak Signal or Wild Card.
- Magnitude and distance
- The size of the point shows the magnitude of the force in the context of the study; its distance from the center, its proximity to that context.
- Constellations
- The strategic spaces that emerge from the combination between forces and point to the territories of the next transformations.
Fertility below replacement and ever-smaller cohorts
The fall in birth rates is no longer gradual: there were 2.38 million births in 2024, 5.8% fewer than in 2023, the sixth consecutive annual decline and the largest reduction in twenty years.
MagnitudeMagnitude: 8
Distance from centerDistance from center: 4
Constellation
Demographics, income and demand formationCare robots
Robots that help lift patients, remind people to take their medication or keep them company are moving from the lab into pilots in care homes and hospitals, especially in Japan. Cost and acceptance still limit adoption. If the shortage of caregivers tightens, what seems strange today becomes a necessity.
MagnitudeMagnitude: 5
Distance from centerDistance from center: 6
Constellation
Care as infrastructurePension pact broken by referendum
A country approves, by direct vote, a drastic cut in benefits or a forced shift to individual capitalization. The precedent would break the premise that acquired pension rights are untouchable and could trigger copycat reforms or a flight of savings.
MagnitudeMagnitude: 8
Distance from centerDistance from center: 10
Constellation
The intergenerational contractAnd 93 more forces of change across 3 thematic radars
Explore radarsHow it works
From signal to decision
01
CHOOSE A SECTOR
Start with the sector you need to understand and access a curated map of the forces that are transforming your future.
02
Explore the forces
Read each force with context, horizon and magnitude and understand the direction and pace of change in your sector.
03
DECIDE WITH CLARITY
See relationships between forces and turn scattered information into strategic hypotheses.
FOLLOW ALONG
AN ONGOING INVESTIGATION
New territories are published periodically over the coming months, and published radars are continuously updated. With free access, you can explore every radar.
Get accessFROM RADARS TO STRATEGY
ORION
ORION is the engine that scans signals and structures the forces behind these radars. Strategy and innovation teams can use it to monitor their own topics.
THE LONG GAME
The Long Game translates these forces into your organization's context through strategic directions, futures acceleration and decision support.