Method

How we read the present to investigate 2040.

Each Future Fields radar starts with a question about a territory and ends with a map of the forces that may transform it. Along the way, we apply the first two phases of The Long Game method: the Deep Dive, where we identify what is changing, and Constellations, where we organise those changes into strategic spaces.

HOW WE WORK

HYBRID INTELLIGENCE

The radars are made by two forms of intelligence working together. ORION, a strategic foresight platform, continuously monitors thousands of sources and organises signals of change into forces. Our specialists interpret those forces: they choose what is relevant to each territory, weigh each one and find the connections between them.

We call this combination Hybrid Intelligence. ORION provides breadth and constant reading. Our team provides judgement, context and editorial responsibility for everything we publish.

THE ORION LIBRARY

signals monitored
27,000+
sources
3,000+
curated forces
3,000+

ORION library figures as of October 2026.

FROM SIGNAL TO CONSTELLATION

  1. 01

    CURATION

    The Long Game

    Our team chooses the territories worth investigating and defines the questions that guide each radar.

  2. 02

    SCANNING AND STRUCTURING

    ORION

    ORION identifies signals of change across thousands of sources and groups those pointing in the same direction into forces, each with a description and context.

  3. 03

    ANALYSIS

    The Long Game

    Our specialists validate each force, remove redundancies and set its dimension, type, magnitude and distance from the centre.

  4. 04

    CONSTELLATIONS

    ORION + The Long Game

    ORION suggests connections between forces, and our team organises them into the constellations that reveal the strategic spaces taking shape.

WHY 2040

2040 is far enough for structural changes to play out and close enough to guide the decisions made today. Every radar in the cycle starts from this horizon: it looks at forces that already exist and asks what they could produce by then.

WHAT A RADAR SHOWS

A radar is a tool for understanding futures and making decisions in the present.

  • A snapshot of its moment.

    Each radar shows the forces identified up to its last update, which is always stated.

  • A selection.

    We bring together the forces most relevant to the territory, without claiming to cover everything.

  • A judgement.

    Magnitude (the size of the point) and distance from the centre express our specialists' assessment based on the available evidence.

  • A starting point.

    Constellations show where futures may emerge. What to do about it remains your decision.

UPDATES AND TRANSLATION

Radars are reviewed when relevant signals emerge, and the date of the last update appears on each one. Content is written in Portuguese and translated into English by artificial intelligence, using a fixed glossary of method terms.

BEYOND THE RADARS

With organisations, The Long Game method continues through three more phases:

  • Scenarios, which build alternative futures from the constellations;
  • North Star, which defines a strategic vision to guide the organisation;
  • Futures Acceleration, which turns that vision into action.